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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2017 2:14 am 
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Ugh, tanked due to double upsets. I knew Bonnie was a threat, but I didn't know who to pair him with. Ah well. I hate having to bet so early. Looks like Siniri made it through with a good one, though!

Bets for tomorrow (also early and blind, sigh):
Goo x Bonnie x (Tail, Luck; All in HH)
Goo x (Peg, Young, Stripe)
Scurvy x Bonnie


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:25 pm 
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Managed 24:10 yesterday.

Gambit: Goo Buck Bonnie Ned Fair
VH: 92:50
P(8:10-44:10): 80%
EV: 1.17-1.40

Bets:
Goo x (Buck, Fran; Bonnie; HC - Squire)
Scurvy x Bonnie
Goo x Bonnie x (HC - Squire)


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Tue Jan 31, 2017 1:45 am 
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12:10 on the Scurvy safety, thank goodness!

Sheesh, Goo. Get it together!


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Tue Jan 31, 2017 7:56 pm 
Beyond Godly
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12:10

I wanted to do the just-Scurvy bet, but I couldn't find a matching bet, so I threw in the Buck and Fran boosters instead. If I'd thought about it harder, it'd have been an 18:10 instead. Oh, well.

Gambit: Tail Young Ed Ned Black
VH: 104:50
P(8:10-36:10): 88%
EV: 1.20-1.33

Bets:
Tail x Buck
Goo x (all in HH)
Scurvy x (Black, Buck, Luck)
Goo x (Ed, Fed) x Buck


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Tue Jan 31, 2017 8:13 pm 
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Goo x (All in HC) x Buck
Goo x (HH - Buck)
Tail x (Buck, Luck)
Scurvy x Luck

System wanted me to bet heavily on Luck...but I just can't bring myself to do that, so I modified quite a bit.


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Wed Feb 01, 2017 3:45 am 
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You should have bet heavily on Luck... and left out Goo's arena. *sigh* *kicks Puffo and Goo and Tail and Scurvy* (I covered 3 of the 4, and 2 of them with Luck)

Busted.

*sigh* And January started off so well, too... Ended the month with 548:310 (77% net profit). 1/1-16, I was at 378:160 (136% net). 1/17-31, I had only 170:150 (a paltry 13% net). At least it was still positive? Hopefully February turns things around.


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Fri Feb 03, 2017 4:33 am 
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614:310 for January.
Yeah...Goo clearly took some Goo-Be-Gone instead of Bloat-Be-Gone this month. Hopefully February will be better!

Quick bets today again:
Scurvy x Buck x Fran
Goo x Buck x (Capn, Bonnie, Fran)
Goo x (Orvinn, Peg, Fair) x Fran
Goo x Buck x (Stripe, Puff) x Fran
Goo x Young x Fran

I meant to leave Buck out of the Stripe and Puff bets, but forgot to uncheck. Ah well. Here's hoping that doesn't bite me later.


ETA: 12:10 for today. Glad I covered that Fair bet....but miffed that I forgot to uncheck the Buck from the Puff bet, or I'd've had 36:10. :x


ETA: Today is *currently* one of the "special" days. This set of bets will currently have you break even or profit. Watch Bonnie, as he's currently a 10:1. If he drops back down to an 8:1, it no longer works.
(Bonnie, Puff, Ned)
Goo x (Squire, Luck, Stripe)
Goo x Fran x (All in SW)

My bets:
Fran x Buck x Bonnie x Scurvy
(Luck, Stripe, Fran) x Buck x Goo x Scurvy
Fran x (Fair, Peg) x Goo x Scurvy
(Luck, Stripe) x Goo x Scurvy
Fran x (Buck, Fair) x Goo x Tail

Not the safest set, but I'm going with it. Too tired to think right now!

ETA2: Busted. Should've gone with the safe set, and I'd've at least gotten something!


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Sun Feb 05, 2017 9:14 pm 
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Not editing that post anymore. Today's bets look TERRIBLE. Advise not to bet.

Of course, I'm betting anyways...so here's my dreadful set:
(Bonnie, Ed) x (All in HH)
Goo x (Puff, Orvinn)

ETA: Lucked out with Bonnie x Orvinn, 30:10

ETA2: Kinda feeling Meh about today's bets, but here they are:
Young x Goo x Fran
Fed x Goo x Fran x (Orvinn, Capn, Scurvy)
Fed x Goo x (Fair, Buck)
Fed x Luck x Fran x Scurvy
Fed x (Luck, Ned, Goo) x Orvinn


Siniri, are you taking a break from bets for now? Hadn't seen you post this month, and was starting to wonder...

ETA: Busted yesterday. Here's today's:
Puff x Buck x Goo
Puff x Luck
(Ed, Young, Fair) x Scurvy x Buck x Goo x Fran
Scurvy x Buck x Luck x Fran
Scurvy x Buck x Luck
Scurvy x Buck x Goo x (Tail, Ned)
Scurvy x Stripe x Goo x Fran


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:43 am 
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So question: Is anyone actually watching this (now that Siniri isn't posting on it), or should I only post from now on if there's a "special" day?


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Thu Feb 16, 2017 6:18 am 
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I had been checking in (and cashing in ;) ), but the last few weeks have been crazy for me. I sadly missed all of the CC, which sounds like it paid off handsomely this year.

All posting is greatly appreciated, but I also understand the demands of RL. I'll leave it up to you.


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Thu Feb 16, 2017 1:48 pm 
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I will be glad to continue to post, then. :) I've won the last 5 days straight (yesterday hitting the "net positive" point) after a 5 day bust streak. I'll edit in my bets this afternoon when I make them.


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Thu Feb 16, 2017 3:12 pm 
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Thanks Pickles!


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Sat Feb 18, 2017 1:49 am 
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Sorry bets are so late - went to the museum this morning, and it threw our whole schedule off. ;) But, the kids had fun, and I had adult conversation! So, win-win!

Betting heavily on Peg today, though not following the system exactly, Peg is pretty much switched out with Fran, and Peg is seriously under on wins lately. If Fran and Scurvy both win, it's a bust, but, otherwise, if either Fran or Peg comes out OK, should get at least *something*!

(Fran, Peg) x (Young, Stripe, Stuff)
Peg x (All in HC) x Scurvy

Could substitute (Fran, Peg) x Stuff with Fran x (Tail, Bonnie) x Scurvy for a little more chance...but that's still leaving some chance on Orvinn and Black. <shrugs>

ETA: 42:10 on Peg x Young :)


ETA: Not 100% happy with these, but here they are:

Luck x (All in TI) x Scurvy
(Squire, Stuff, Orvinn) x Goo x Scurvy
Luck x Goo x (Peg, Bonnie)
Stripe x Peg

ETA: 8:10. Not a total loss, so, eh, not too bad.


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Sun Feb 19, 2017 12:14 am 
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Today is a "special" day. There's a couple ways you can do it, but I'd recommend this one:

(Stuff, Bonnie, Fed)
Goo x (Puff, Squire, Orvinn)
Goo x Fran x (All in Lagoon)

Will edit my bets in momentarily.

(Fed, Bonnie, Stuff) x Fran x Tail
Goo x (All in L) x Fran x Tail
Goo x Fran x (Peg, Capn)
Goo x Orvinn x Tail

ETA: Busted. Should've gone with the safe set. It paid out 26:10.


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Sun Feb 19, 2017 5:06 am 
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I busted, too. It looked good, though. Ah well. Next time, right :)


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