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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 7:47 pm 
Beyond Godly
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P, Goo is in HH... Did you mean all in HC?


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 12:59 am 
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Siniri wrote:
P, Goo is in HH... Did you mean all in HC?

Yes, I did, unfortunately.

2 13:1's today, ugh. If Orvinn hadn't busted me, Buck would've. Ah well.

Tomorrow looks interesting. It has the potential to be a special day, if Stuff moves to be a 5:1 (or any of the 3:1's, but I figure Stuff is more likely to).


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:06 am 
Beyond Godly
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Bah. Someone needs to give Gooblah some bloat-be-gone or something...


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 6:36 pm 
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Today is currently set to be a "special day". This set of bets can't lose (unless the odds change):

(Fed, Stripe, Ned)
Goo x (Peg, Puff, Stuff)
Goo x Buck x (All in HH)

Will edit my bets in later.

ETA: My set:
Fed x (Buck, Stuff)
Goo x (Puff, Peg)
Goo x Buck x Scurvy
Goo x Stuff x (Scurvy; All in HH)


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 7:56 pm 
Beyond Godly
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Gambit: Goo Stuff Scurvy Squire Bonnie
no hold
P(16:10-72:10): 68%
EV: 1.45-2.20

Bets:
Goo x (Stuff, Buck) x (TI - Young)
Goo x (Stuff, Puff, Buck; Scurvy)

Young is actually a threat in TI, but I went with my system instead of covering him. This 13:1 upset streak has to end sometime, right?


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 7:12 pm 
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Gah. Goo, get it together! Busted on account of Stripe.

I'm actually kinda surprised Stuff didn't pull through, but, since Goo didn't, what difference does it make?

ETA:
Today's bets. I'm deviating to cover more basic boosters, rather than multiple boosters. And bumping up the safeties from lower in the lists.

Squire x Goo
Scurvy x Buck
Scurvy x Goo x (All in SW; all in HC)

Come on, Scurvy and Goo! I'd like to at least come out a little bit positive today!


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 9:33 pm 
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Gambit: Orvinn Scurvy Tail Fran Goo
no hold
P(24:10-88:10): 60%
EV: 1.92-2.50

Bets:
Scurvy x Goo x (SW - Stuff; TI - Puff, all in HC)

Meh. Goo has to win again starting sometime. Might as well be today. Better be today!


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 11:09 pm 
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2's day!

16:10 - not as great as Siniri's, but still better than the last two days of busting!


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2017 4:48 am 
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24:10 Still have a lot of ground to make up. Let's hope tomorrow is at least as good as today was.


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2017 6:51 pm 
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Mostly following system, but brought up a couple safeties. Here's hoping for no 13's upsets today:

Goo x (Fed, Fair, Capn) x Scurvy
Goo x (Fed, Fair) x Fran
Tail x (Fed, Fair) x Scurvy
Buck x Fed x Scurvy
Goo x (Fed, Fair) x Scurvy x Puff


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2017 9:47 pm 
Beyond Godly
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Gambit: Orvinn Goo Fair Scurvy Stripe
VH: 24:10
P(16:10-80:10): 68%
EV: 1.75-2.54

Bets:
Goo x (Fair, Capn, Stuff) x Scurvy
(Tail, Buck) x Fed x Scurvy
Goo x Fed x Fran
Goo x Fed x Scurvy x (all in HH)

Was typing this up when I noticed it was already 1:43. Just managed to get my bets in before the gates closed. Phew.


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2017 11:55 pm 
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Wow, Goo tanked *again*. Glad I had the safety on Buck! 44:10


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Sat Jan 28, 2017 3:05 pm 
Beyond Godly
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I nearly included a Tail x Fair double safety instead. I'm glad I went with P(win) over EV today! 44:10.

Blindly following my system today. May not want to follow.

Gambit: Scurvy Ned Buck Goo Tail
VH: 68:20
EV: 2.01-2.53

Bets:
Scurvy x Ned x (Buck, Young) x Goo x Tail
Scurvy x (all in Lagoon) x Goo x Tail
Fran x Ned x Goo x Tail
Scurvy x Ned x Goo x (Fed, Puff)
Scurvy x Goo x Tail


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Sun Jan 29, 2017 3:33 am 
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Almost identical to Siniri's, but one changed bet:
Scurvy x Ned x (Buck, Young) x Goo x Tail
Scurvy x (all in Lagoon) x Goo x Tail
Fran x Ned x Goo x Tail
Scurvy x Ned x Goo x (Fed, Puff)
Scurvy x Ned x Orvinn x Tail

You know...just in case Goo continues to tank, like he has so much lately.
I don't like putting so many in with 3 of the same people, but...here's hoping!


ETA: Fran and Captain. And Fed. All together. Yep. Busted.


ETA2: Having to bet tonight (early). Tomorrow looks like a mess.
Bonnie looks like a pretty big threat to Goo, with how Goo's been losing lately, and Bonnie hasn't won in nearly two weeks. I'm not happy with my set, as I feel like I should've covered some double upsets...but I'm not sure which ones would be best to cover...so here it is:

(Ed, Fed) x Goo x Buck
Scurvy x (Puff, Bonnie) x Buck
Scurvy x Goo x (Stripe, Fair)
Scurvy x Goo x (All in HC) x Buck


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 Post subject: Re: Food Club [Split 2]
PostPosted: Sun Jan 29, 2017 6:46 pm 
Beyond Godly
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Yeah, I had less chance than a snowball in a lake of fire yesterday.

GAMBIT: Ed Fran Puff Young Buck
VH: 68:30
P(8:10-40:10): 66%

Bets:
Ed x Goo x Buck
Scurvy x Puff x Buck
Scurvy x (Goo, Bonnie) x (Buck, Stripe, Fair)
Fed x (Goo, Bonnie) x Buck

Once again betting blind.


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